Featured Post

The 2017-18 Season in Review

LINKS TO ALL THE POSTSEASON COVERAGE All the numbers have been pretty well crunched and the lists made.  The writing takes a while. I can...

Monday, March 19, 2018

Season in Review - 2019 Projections

First, I'm going to give you all the reasons this is meaningless.

I looked at who's coming back. I don't have accurate grade information for a few teams and to do a deep projection, I had to make some guesses. In all likelihood, there will be a handful of transfers and a handful of good bowlers won't come out for the team for one reason or another.

I looked at averages and used a very simple expected-improvement matrix.  That can't possibly account for the scores of bowlers who will make huge improvements.

I can name exactly three incoming freshmen for next year.  Three.  That leaves, at a minimum, 20 or so impact freshmen unaccounted for.

All that said...  I present, for entertainment purposes only, an irresponsibly early look at the 2018-19 preseason rankings.

THE PROJECTED TOP 20 BOYS BOWLING TEAMS FOR 2018-19

1.  Woodbridge
2.  Brick Memorial
3.  East Brunswick
4.  Brick Township
5.  Sussex Tech
6.  Monroe
7.  Jackson Liberty
8.  South Brunswick
9.  Toms River South
10. Pascack Valley
11. Linden
12. Montville
13. Howell
14. North Brunswick
15. Manchester
16. Neptune
17. Jackson Memorial
18. St. Joseph-Metuchen
19. Toms River East
20. West Milford

and the teams most likely to break into that list:

JP Stevens
Fair Lawn
Clifton
Edison
Iselin Kennedy
Seneca
Manasquan
Hudson Catholic
Freehold Township
Passaic Tech
Colonia
West Deptford
Middlesex

THE PROJECTED TOP 20 GIRLS BOWLING TEAMS FOR 2018-19

1.  Toms River North
2.  Brick Memorial
3.  Brick Township
4.  Freehold Township
5.  Warren Hills
6.  Manchester
7.  Colts Neck
8.  Woodbridge
9.  Teaneck
10. Lacey
11. South Brunswick
12. East Brunswick
13. Mahwah
14. Eastern
15. Washington Township
16. Edison
17. Toms River South
18. Holy Angels
19. Bergen Tech
20. Matawan

and the teams most likely to break into that list:

Carteret
Ocean Township
Colonia
Ridgewood
Central
Pemberton
Ewing
Barnegat
Monroe



No comments:

Post a Comment